The #1 Industry Event
The 22nd Annual
Make plans to attend the one aviation event known as the disruptor!
Insight, Information, Data, Forecasts Found Only At This Event
The 22nd IAFS – August 26-29, 2017
Get Prepared To Know The Future. This August, we’re planning a Forecast Summit that’s going to be even more incisive and disruptive than any in our 22 year history. (And that says a lot with the strong track record we have!)
Big things are emerging in all areas of aviation – whether its airport planning, fleet programs, air service access, new technologies or airline strategies – the whole planning foundations of the industry have shifted in major ways.
Aviation planning means having a clear understanding of the future. Be prepared to get the perspectives and planning concepts explored only at this event!
The IAFS Difference: We Start With Forecasts Of Key Future Trends…
Then, We Get The Perspectives From Decision-Makers Across The Industry & Across The Globe.
Some of he new perspectives in aviation we will be exploring:
Parallel Air Transportation Systems. It’s Not Just New Competition – Its A New Market Disruption.
The expansion of Frontier, Spirit and now, Allegiant, into low-frequency, day-of-week O&D service between large airports flies in the face of traditional thinking regarding the power of hub systems to keep new competition out.
But for now, it’s less competition than simply a new product to divert discretionary income. They are not about “meeting demand” but generating new travel patterns.
But that’s about to change as the three main network carriers respond. The issue is that this major disruption in travel cost options will change customer patterns in entire regions due to growing disparities between smaller airports and more distant large cities with ULCC-induced fares.
The British Are Coming! This Time They’re Armed With 787s.
The Summit was the first to outline the value that major US non-hubsite commercial centers represent to UK and EU carriers as feed for their own hubs. It’s already started, with London nonstop from places such as Austin and our client, New Orleans. One outcome of this will be an increase in road-hubbing in affected regions to take advantage of the nonstop. A two hour drive to MSY to get the nonstop to Heathrow is in many cases less travel time and much less hassle than the connecting flight at the local airport. We’ve already identified Memphis, Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky, Indianapolis and even Sacramento as near-term candidates. Join us and we’ll explore more of how this will affect travel patterns.
Connectivity: The New Air Access Metric.
For years, BGI has been advising its clients – from small airports to large Washington lobbying groups – that connectivity, not local air service or passenger volume, is the only real metric for economic growth. Now, we’re excited that we’ve started to get the message across. But this will mean embracing new concepts such as co-terminalization, traffic segment bifurcation, and regionalization. It’s not for the politically faint of heart – but it is the planning future. Be ready to get the perspectives of what these mean across the aviation industry.
Fleet Changes – New Mixes – And Shrinking Order Books The IAFS was the first to forecast the decline in 50-seat jet demand, back when “everybody” was predicting nearly unending demand. This year we’re unveiling another emerging trend – the coming slow-down in global demand for new units as airlines complete the re-fleeting into new-generation airliners. After years of go-go demand, this could be a difficult set of changes for not only manufacturers, but also for suppliers, financial institutions, airport planners, and labor. We’ll be discussing this from all angles and perspectives – including yours.
Airports: What Do You Do With That Dew Bridge?
The shifts in airline fleets will materially change traditional airport planning. Declining (but still relatively high) fuel prices have only slowed retirement of 50-seat and 70-seat airliners. When it comes to connectivity, the bottom line will be new-generation 75+ seat airliners. Regardless of how many “studies” are done, the future for small and mid-size airport will be meeting the hurdle to fill larger airliners. The good news is that most will find the outcomes positive. We’ll be covering what new-generation aircraft will mean to airports. The issue is that this major disruption in travel cost options will change customer patterns in entire regions.
Global System Shifts.
In the US, there is a new administration that has already signaled huge changes in the federal approach to aviation planning. In the EU, we have the fallout from Brexit. In Asia, we have the Chinese airline industry expanding globally and aggressively. There are whole new airline operating strategies coming as global alliances become less a factor.
Restructured US Air Transportation Networks.
In the US, the entire air transportation system is regionalizing and co-terminalizing. The continued shift to larger units of capacity, and very low expansion of flight operations has had a material effect on air service access planning.
Technological Advancements Impacting the Aviation Industry.
Technology is advancing every aspect of air travel – from booking a reservation, future fleet enhancements, and inflight experience. Discover how this impact will continue to alter the customer experience in the future.
Different Aircraft Needs.
New fleet strategies – the name of the game is now revenue generation, not necessarily traffic volume. This will have material effects on financial planning, airport facility needs, corollary surface transportation.
Globalization of Aviation Demand.
It’s now as important to forecast at Bangor as it is in Beijing. This is a global economy, and it is affecting aviation planning materially.
Real Aviation Forecasts:
The past is not a harbinger of the future. The raw economics of air transportation are shifting where this mode can grow, and where it will shrink. We’ll be looking at all areas of the industry – passenger traffic, air cargo, fleet retirements and replacement, and, as always, the Airports:USA enplanement trend forecasts.
Insights from industry leaders. The IAFS is an exploration event. We sit down with CEOs and senior executives from across the industry and across the globe to discuss the future. No rambling panels of “opinions” and no canned presentations.
A Very Different Format – We Start With The Future, And Then Explore It With Industry Decision-Makers.The IAFS is different – as the leading aviation forecast firm, BGI is at the cutting edge in illuminating the emerging trends that will affect all sectors of the industry.
We’ll get perspectives on how these trend will affect airlines, airports, suppliers, financial institutions, labor, and more. We’ll identify where these will intersect in future aviation planning and where there will be changes needed in the relationships between these sectors.
This Is The #1 Event In The Industry That Consistently Provides Emerging Forecast Trends
Snapshots From The 2016 IAFS
We want to thank all of the attendees who made the 2016 IAFS the most exciting yet. And a lot of that excitement was made possible by our hosts, the Reno-Tahoe International Airport. We’re also indebted to the hard work of the Squaw Valley Ski Resort in holding some of the most exciting social events in our 20+ year history.
Among others, on the first full day of the Summit, we gained insight from leaders at twelve global airlines. In addition, we had a very incisive session on airport trends with executives from all categories of facilities. And, as is the trademark of the IAFS, the attendees were among the first to get a full briefing on the next-generation of supersonic air transportation. The contents of this first day alone delivered far more than any other aviation event!
Day two of the 2016 IAFS brought even more insight from several more airlines, as well as forecasts from all major aircraft manufacturers, too. Not shown above are the incisive BGI fleet forecast session, the Airports:USA enplanement forecasts, and the first-ever Airports:China forecast, which gave attendees a view of the future of this new travel sector.
The 2nd Annual China-US Aviation Opportunities Symposium
This year we again attached the leading source of data and information on China-US traffic to the start of the IAFS.
Airports, chambers of commerce and CVBs from around the nation joined the China Ni Hao, LLC. team to learn the latest in the explosive growth in this visitor sector.
And, Of Course, Fun Networking Events!
The Welcome Reception…
We want to thank our sponsors – SSP America and Paradies-Lagardere – for a great opening reception!
We want to thank the Squaw Valley Resort for one incredible event honoring the speakers and dozens of aviation leaders who attended the Summit.
Held at High Camp – at 8,200 ft – in the Olympic museum, the festivities were heightened by the presence of Jonny Mosley, Olympic Gold Medalist, and by Andy Wirth, CEO of the Squaw Valley Resort and president of the Reno-Tahoe Airport Board.
Monday Night Networking At Lake Tahoe…
We want to thank our hosts, Reno-Tahoe International Airport, and also the Regional Air Service Task Force for a stellar evening on the shores of Lake Tahoe!
The gala event featured an outstanding beer tasting, incredible food, and great networking with colleagues from around the globe – China, Australia, Germany, the UK, Japan, and more.